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Blackhawks at Blue Jackets
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 16:40 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.9, CBJ 2.7; shots on goal were CHI 28, CBJ 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Lankinen (23 saves, .885), 3. Michael Del Zotto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    K. Lankinen23 saves, .885
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    M. Del Zotto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI2921603428
CBJCBJ2507114326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:03
  2. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:13
  3. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    10:13
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    17:02

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    3:07
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    16:40

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Domi (11)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    4-3
    19:11

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:56CBJMikko Lehtonen · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 8:18CBJAlexandre Texier · Trippingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 18:55CHIDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 3:07CBJserved by M. Domi · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 7:58CBJserved by M. Domi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:25CBJMikko Lehtonen · Boardingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCHI goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 16:40 — CHI 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.18O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.17K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.09S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.06G. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.04M. Grigorenko · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lehtonen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · Goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.00C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCBJ
2.94 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI55%45%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
12
14
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000-120.04320—26:58
2D. KeithD000-220.05010—25:40
88P. KaneR011060.43000—23:00
27A. BoqvistD000020.11010—20:26
24P. SuterC011020.090103018:57
12A. DeBrincatR112030.5400010018:42
77K. DachC011010.390201417:39
16N. ZadorovD000000.16220—17:09
64D. KampfC011010.000006515:35
17D. StromeC101010.240027514:33
48W. KalynukD101+220.05020—14:05
8D. KubalikL000010.10000—13:40
28V. HinostrozaC000-110.06100013:31
38B. HagelL000000.2610010013:28
34C. SoderbergC101+130.2000010012:37
22R. CarpenterC011010.06110012:14
23P. KurashevC000000.100105012:12
44C. de HaanD022+100.00110—08:32
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)26233.8852.65-0.3559:02

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).