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Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 2:05 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were VAN 24, WPG 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.2 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (2 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck24 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0601107024
WPGWPG111210215536

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:48

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor (23), N. Pionk (29)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:05
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    8:33

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    10:44
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.07
    0-5
    11:54

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:39WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:00VANZack MacEwen · Trippingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 19:19WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Jack Rathbone2 min

2nd

  • 18:31VANJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min

3rd

  • 14:59WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Graovac2 min
  • 14:59VANTyler Graovac · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVAN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 2nd 2:05 — WPG 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.10N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.07D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.04D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsWPG
1.70 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.70 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN30%70%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsWPG
24
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
5
10
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000-110.02000—21:53
23A. EdlerD000-230.03020—20:42
88N. SchmidtD000-210.03120—20:28
57T. MyersD000-100.05030—20:22
53B. HorvatC000-360.332105319:31
3J. RathboneD000-210.12130—18:34
27T. HamonicD000-220.07110—18:01
9J. MillerC000010.213024517:52
6B. BoeserR000000.04010—17:17
36N. HoglanderL000-120.16000—16:38
70T. PearsonL000-220.18200—13:56
13J. HawrylukR000-400.00010—13:48
24J. VeseyL000020.10100—13:30
44T. GraovacC000-320.214024513:08
71Z. MacEwenR000010.12002—13:00
15M. HighmoreC000000.00200012:11
72T. BoydC000000.000004312:11
56M. MichaelisL000-200.00110—10:58
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)36315.8612.83-2.1760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).