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Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Perreault's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were VAN 33, WPG 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.9 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Laurent Brossoit (31 saves, .939), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11419010233
WPGWPG212115212539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:19
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:34
  3. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:57

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    5:04
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(6)PPG
    Q. Hughes (20), B. Boeser (13)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    19:55

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    9:13
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.48win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:50

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:13WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min
  • 12:05VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 4:39VANJordie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 14:52VANTravis Hamonic · High stickingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 19:01WPGTucker Poolman · Interferencedrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVAN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Perreault, 1st 19:57 — WPG 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.49M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.30P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.20M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.16M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.16M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsWPG
2.12 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN33%67%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsWPG
33
Shots on goal
39
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-220.05020—23:32
9J. MillerC101-160.510007022:34
23A. EdlerD000-110.04340—21:55
88N. SchmidtD000-120.03000—20:32
6B. BoeserR022-220.27010—19:54
53B. HorvatC000020.042005519:21
57T. MyersD000-220.09012—19:16
40E. PetterssonC101-120.16000017:31
27T. HamonicD000-100.06212—16:55
20B. SutterC000-230.140105015:54
8J. BennD000+110.00012—15:18
36N. HoglanderL000-230.11000—15:01
96A. GaudetteR000-120.1001010013:56
70T. PearsonL000-120.20010—13:00
18J. VirtanenR000020.10120—12:47
26A. RousselL000010.06000—10:37
83J. BeagleC000000.000005709:26
71Z. MacEwenR000000.12300—09:03
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)38344.8953.14-0.8659:03

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).