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Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV NHLN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Pierre-Luc Dubois scoring at 0:27. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 0:27 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were WPG 31, VAN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (2 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (2 G), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG091921211431
VANVAN217091800334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    0-1
    3:38
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser (10), J. Miller (13)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:40

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:37

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    5:43
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    10:33
  3. VAN
    Q. Hughes (19), J. Miller (14)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:22

Overtime

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:27

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:30VANZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Derek Forbort5 min
  • 2:30WPGDerek Forbort · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 9:10WPGDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

3rd

  • 1:18VANNils Hoglander · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 7:16WPGDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 9:44VANBrandon Sutter · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 12:47WPGNathan Beaulieu · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 14:52VANBrock Boeser · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 17:47WPGJosh Morrissey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalWPG goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, OT 0:27 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.25J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.19Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.18E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.08A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVAN
2.74 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG40%60%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVAN
31
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-130.14232—23:54
2D. DeMeloD000+100.00240—21:09
4N. PionkD101030.18210—20:21
55M. ScheifeleC123+230.260103320:07
81K. ConnorL000+170.7100010019:23
9A. CoppC000-120.310305019:13
24D. ForbortD000+220.04359—18:33
26B. WheelerR033+220.09300—18:07
25P. StastnyC000010.140004817:47
88N. BeaulieuD000-110.02102—17:33
27N. EhlersL011030.40210—17:06
13P. DuboisC213+120.33200016:48
17A. LowryC000-100.005003816:48
22M. AppletonC000-120.07000014:00
3T. PoolmanD000-100.05210—14:00
23T. LewisC000000.00100007:41
85M. PerreaultC000000.00000006:22
11N. ThompsonC000000.000005004:54
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)34313.9123.34+0.3460:27

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).