Canucks at Jets 4-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Vancouver Canucks

▸4

Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-0. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 8:46 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.1, WPG 2.3; shots on goal were VAN 19, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Nate Schmidt (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Lowry.

Three stars

★
T. Demko27 saves, 1.000
★★
N. Schmidt1 G, 1 A
★★★
A. Lowry

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
VAN	37	08	14	419
WPG	07	05	015	027

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

N. Schmidt(3)
B. Sutter (1), A. Gaudette (1)
wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
1-0
8:28
J. Miller(5)
N. Schmidt (4), E. Pettersson (11)
wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
2-0
8:46
N. Hoglander(4)PPG
T. Myers (9), A. Gaudette (2)
deflectedxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
3-0
14:50

3rd period

E. Pettersson(9)EN
B. Boeser (11)
wristxG 0.94
4-0
16:26

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

12:56Neal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

2:07Adam Gaudette · Slashingdrawn by Sami Niku2 min

3rd

5:22Nathan Beaulieu · Interferencedrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: WPG

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 1st 8:46 — VAN 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 2.1 xG · 28 att WPG

0 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.13 G
All situations: 0 G2.3; 1.12 G
Even strength: 0 G1.9; 0.11 G
Power play: 0 G0.3; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

27%73%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.18 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

19
Shots on goal: 27; 46%
Faceoffs: 54%; 1/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 12
Hits: 23; 15
Blocked shots: 6; 14
Giveaways: 7; 7
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Vancouver Canucks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
43Q. HughesD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	2	0	—	23:20
23A. EdlerD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	1	2	0	—	20:54
53B. HorvatC	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	3	0	36	19:54
27T. HamonicD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	—	19:45
88N. SchmidtD	1	1	2	+2	1	0.03	0	0	0	—	19:29
57T. MyersD	0	1	1	+1	3	0.02	0	2	0	—	18:49
9J. MillerC	1	0	1	+2	1	0.11	2	0	0	100	18:17
70T. PearsonL	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	1	0	—	18:07
6B. BoeserR	0	1	1	+2	2	0.20	1	1	0	100	18:01
40E. PetterssonC	1	1	2	+2	1	0.94	0	1	0	0	17:15
20B. SutterC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	54	14:58
8J. BennD	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	—	14:57
18J. VirtanenR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	14:40
96A. GaudetteR	0	2	2	+1	1	0.11	0	0	2	—	14:19
36N. HoglanderL	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	—	13:50
26A. RousselL	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	1	0	—	10:44
71Z. MacEwenR	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	—	10:27
83J. BeagleC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	43	10:15

Vancouver Canucks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35T. Demko(W)	27	27	0	1.000	2.29	+2.29	59:59

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score