Jets at Canucks 4-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Winnipeg Jets

▸4

Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NHLN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 2:07 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 73% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 29, VAN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Adam Lowry (2 G), 3. Blake Wheeler (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Hellebuyck22 saves, 1.000
★★
A. Lowry2 G
★★★
B. Wheeler1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	111	011	37	429
VAN	09	06	07	022

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

B. Wheeler(9)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
1-0
9:41

3rd period

A. Lowry(6)
M. Appleton (8)
wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
2-0
2:07
A. Lowry(7)
A. Copp (15), J. Morrissey (15)
backhandxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
3-0
8:42
P. Stastny(10)
M. Scheifele (26)
wristxG 0.12
4-0
17:00

Penalties

2 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

3:10Zack MacEwen · Holdingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min
11:13Mathieu Perreault · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VAN

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 3rd 2:07 — WPG 73% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att VAN

0 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.44 G
All situations: 0 G2.1; 2.14 G
Even strength: 0 G2.1; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.0; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

56%44%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

29
Shots on goal: 22; 54%
Faceoffs: 46%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 2; 15
Hits: 19; 15
Blocked shots: 20; 4
Giveaways: 11; 4
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

Winnipeg Jets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
4N. PionkD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	—	22:35
24D. ForbortD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4	0	—	21:37
3T. PoolmanD	0	0	0	+3	2	0.02	3	4	0	—	19:48
55M. ScheifeleC	0	1	1	+2	2	0.30	0	0	0	44	19:34
44J. MorrisseyD	0	1	1	+3	2	0.04	0	2	0	—	19:30
81K. ConnorL	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	0	0	0	—	18:43
2D. DeMeloD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	—	17:42
27N. EhlersL	0	0	0	0	5	0.49	0	0	0	—	17:33
64L. StanleyD	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	3	1	0	—	16:28
26B. WheelerR	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	3	0	0	—	16:19
25P. StastnyC	1	0	1	+2	1	0.20	0	1	0	50	16:16
9A. CoppC	0	1	1	+2	2	0.10	0	0	0	0	15:45
22M. AppletonC	0	1	1	+2	0	0.07	0	0	0	0	15:31
17A. LowryC	2	0	2	+2	4	0.25	1	1	0	55	15:28
13P. DuboisC	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	60	14:35
85M. PerreaultC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	0	10:59
23T. LewisC	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	0	10:12
11N. ThompsonC	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	75	09:25

Winnipeg Jets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)	22	22	0	1.000	2.06	+2.06	60:00

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

1st period

3rd period

2nd

Box score