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Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Bruins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 14:56 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 32% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 28, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 4.0 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (3 G, 1 A), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G, 1 A), 3. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1929210528
BOSBOS06511211728

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:24

2nd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:11
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:45
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:45
  4. PIT
    J. McCann(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    5:11
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:56
  6. BOS
    D. Krejci(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    18:29
  7. BOS
    C. Smith (10), C. McAvoy (18)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    3-5
    19:40

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    4-5
    4:38
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    4-6
    13:28
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(15)SHG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    5-6
    18:45
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.53win prob +7 pts
    5-7
    18:59

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

2nd

  • 4:45BOSCharlie McAvoy · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 9:59PITSam Lafferty · Elbowingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 10:20BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Trippingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 15:10BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 15:10PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 16:53PITEvan Rodrigues · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 17:49PITKris Letang · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 18:49BOSPatrice Bergeron · High sticking double minordrawn by Sidney Crosby4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalPIT goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 14:56 — BOS 32% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.53D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.22P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS7 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBOS
1.95 G
All situations
6 G2.5
1.43 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT48%52%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
28
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
28
7
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
3
12
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. DumoulinD011010.01120—24:35
58K. LetangD000-120.05004—23:45
87S. CrosbyC123-130.230103522:48
59J. GuentzelC123-140.35100021:10
17B. RustR000-200.14200—19:49
19J. McCannL101-350.421104219:17
6J. MarinoD000-200.00210—19:14
4C. CeciD101+120.04000—18:54
16J. ZuckerL000-140.19400—18:09
5M. MathesonD011+110.00010—17:26
9E. RodriguesC000-200.05202015:54
28M. PetterssonD000-200.00200—13:51
11F. GaudreauC000010.001004213:25
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000030.28100—11:49
13B. TanevL000010.04110—10:40
14M. JankowskiL112+110.0520010008:18
18S. LaffertyC011+100.003025007:45
57A. AngelloC000+100.00200007:09
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)27216.7781.98-4.0258:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).