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Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 13:12 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 23, BOS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Matheson (1 G), 2. Casey DeSmith (30 saves, .968), 3. Zachary Aston-Reese (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    M. Matheson1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    Z. Aston-Reese1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0721026423
BOSBOS02013116131

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    2:01
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    13:12

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:14
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    13:07
  3. PIT
    K. Letang (22), S. Crosby (26)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:51

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:59PITBrian Dumoulin · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 0:31BOSJeremy Lauzon · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 1:03BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 1:03PITKris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 18:44PITMark Jankowski · Holdingdrawn by Anders Bjork2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalPIT goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 2nd 13:12 — PIT 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.15D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.14C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.11P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.10C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.03A. Blidh · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Senyshyn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.01A. Blidh · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.00T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 1.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBOS
2.93 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT60%40%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
35
12
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
5
15
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+100.01412—24:52
8B. DumoulinD000+110.06312—24:48
87S. CrosbyC011000.112004020:57
59J. GuentzelC101050.98100020:43
17B. RustR000010.10110—19:47
4C. CeciD011+120.17010—19:01
11F. GaudreauC011+130.381104417:10
28M. PetterssonD011+200.00100—17:10
5M. MathesonD101010.15000—17:08
12Z. Aston-ReeseL101+130.30400—16:42
6J. MarinoD000+110.01120—15:51
19J. McCannL000+110.121004015:21
9E. RodriguesC011+110.130003315:14
16J. ZuckerL101+120.22320—14:36
13B. TanevL011+100.04500—14:02
14M. JankowskiL000+100.000124308:12
18S. LaffertyC000+100.0022010008:12
57A. AngelloC011+120.10000006:58
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)31301.9681.82+0.8260:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).