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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

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Washington Capitals
4
New York Islanders
▸8
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 8-4. The Capitals scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 18:53 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 22, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.8 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (3 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G, 1 A), 3. John Carlson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH272708422
NYINYI41329211833

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(8)
    T. Wilson (14), C. Sheary (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:01
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(12)
    L. Komarov (4), M. Barzal (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:02
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:09
  4. NYI
    B. Nelson(13)
    J. Bailey (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    17:32
  5. WSH
    D. Sprong(7)
    L. Eller (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:54
  6. NYI
    M. Barzal(12)
    J. Eberle (11), S. Mayfield (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    18:53

2nd period

  1. NYI
    C. Cizikas(7)
    C. Clutterbuck (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    2-5
    3:03
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(10)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (13), N. Backstrom (25)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-5
    6:47
  3. NYI
    J. Eberle(13)
    M. Barzal (20), A. Greene (3)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    3-6
    8:08
  4. WSH
    J. Carlson(9)
    J. Vrana (13), D. Sprong (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    4-6
    19:01

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(6)
    B. Nelson (9), A. Beauvillier (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    4-7
    3:13
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(13)
    J. Bailey (17), S. Mayfield (10)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    4-8
    18:54

Penalties

WSH 19 PIM·NYI 17 PIM

2nd

  • 5:59NYIserved by J. Eberle · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:26WSHNicklas Backstrom · High stickingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 14:59WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 18:54WSHGarnet Hathaway · Misconductdrawn by Ross Johnston10 min
  • 18:54NYIRoss Johnston · Misconductdrawn by Garnet Hathaway10 min
  • 20:00WSHZdeno Chara · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 20:00NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Zdeno Chara5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 1st 18:53 — NYI 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.25B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.22B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.22M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.15R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.10M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.07O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.04M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02
NYI8 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.24 G
All situations
8 G3.1
1.83 G
Even strength
8 G3.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH36%64%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
0/2
19
Penalty minutes
17
26
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. SchultzD000-200.00010—22:23
9D. OrlovD000-100.02400—21:37
74J. CarlsonD202-120.30200—20:28
4B. DillonD000-210.06300—19:30
33Z. CharaD000-200.03605—18:32
19N. BackstromC011-200.020025317:40
77T. OshieR101-140.411125017:31
43T. WilsonR011-340.53200—17:10
8A. OvechkinL011-120.16220—16:58
3N. JensenD000-210.04020—16:42
73C. ShearyL011-210.00000—16:31
92E. KuznetsovC000-100.000005615:45
20L. EllerC011010.110103314:33
10D. SprongR112+130.16000—14:00
13J. VranaL011000.19100—12:28
26N. DowdC000-200.002006412:11
62C. HagelinL000-210.01100—11:45
21G. HathawayR000-220.182110—10:08
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)24186.7502.21-3.7943:34
41V. Vanecek972.7780.84-1.1616:26

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).