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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Washington Capitals
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSWA+·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Schultz's goal at 19:33 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYI 34, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.6 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Justin Schultz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vitek Vanecek (32 saves, .941), 3. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Schultz1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11111409234
WSHWSH11719111337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(2)PPG
    J. Schultz (2), N. Backstrom (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    11:06
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson(1)
    M. Barzal (3), J. Eberle (2)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:33

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:01
  2. WSH
    D. Sprong(1)
    D. Carr (1), J. Carlson (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:21

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Schultz(2)
    G. Hathaway (1), B. Dillon (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +47 pts
    2-3
    19:33

Penalties

NYI 7 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:12NYIMatt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min

2nd

  • 7:19WSHCarl Hagelin · Boardingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 13:24WSHNicklas Backstrom · Interferencedrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 19:03WSHLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

3rd

  • 10:59NYILeo Komarov · Boardingdrawn by Lars Eller5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Schultz, 3rd 19:33 — WSH 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.20N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.14T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.14J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.12D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.10G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.04D. Carr · On goal · xG 0.03R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH3 G · 2.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
1.62 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI35%65%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/2
7
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
14
21
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000040.24040—25:28
12J. BaileyR000-130.18000—21:30
13M. BarzalC112+260.210005620:41
3A. PelechD000+110.02050—20:15
2N. LeddyD000-210.05100—19:57
29B. NelsonC000030.220004618:53
27A. LeeL000+230.090004018:22
7J. EberleR011+200.02020—18:14
24S. MayfieldD000-210.02210—17:51
4A. GreeneD000+210.02020—17:40
8N. DobsonD101+110.08000—17:11
44J. PageauC000-120.162305016:39
15C. ClutterbuckR000-130.10200—11:43
47L. KomarovR000-100.00115—11:17
20K. BellowsL000020.10210—11:04
53C. CizikasC000-120.070108010:45
17M. MartinL000-100.00402—08:53
32R. JohnstonL000010.03410—08:05
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)37343.9192.36-0.6459:38

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).