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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Washington Capitals
▸3
FinalTV MSG+ 2, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 10:36 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 22, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Samsonov (21 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov21 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0110417122
WSHWSH072718322

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(7)
    E. Kuznetsov (9), A. Ovechkin (11)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:36
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(12)PPG
    J. Schultz (11), N. Backstrom (21)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:24

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(12)PPG
    J. Vrana (11), J. Carlson (19)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    0:28
  2. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    4:17

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:03WSHJustin Schultz · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 3:19NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 13:34NYIMathew Barzal · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 20:00NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

3rd

  • 3:01WSHJakub Vrana · Holdingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
  • 4:32NYISebastian Aho · Holdingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 10:36 — WSH 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.47C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.19N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.17G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.11J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.07T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
1.81 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI47%53%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
22
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-110.01200—23:57
6R. PulockD000-120.10100—21:13
29B. NelsonC000010.280005819:51
12J. BaileyR000010.10020—19:13
24S. MayfieldD000010.03232—18:58
3A. PelechD000010.01200—18:35
4A. GreeneD000000.00220—17:47
44J. PageauC000-120.033006917:07
18A. BeauvillierR000030.29100—16:50
25S. AhoD000010.05102—16:27
13M. BarzalC000010.090025014:59
26O. WahlstromR101-150.42200—14:57
7J. EberleR000010.2101010014:40
11A. CzarnikC000-100.00100013:45
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00600—13:14
20K. BellowsL000010.11600—12:57
53C. CizikasC000010.110026312:29
17M. MartinL000000.00110—08:05
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)22193.8641.98-1.0258:38

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).