Islanders at Capitals 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New York Islanders

Washington Capitals

▸1

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 1-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sprong's goal at 1:29 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 18, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (18 saves, 1.000), 2. Ilya Sorokin (32 saves, .970), 3. Daniel Sprong (1 G).

Three stars

★
V. Vanecek18 saves, 1.000
★★
I. Sorokin32 saves, .970
★★★
D. Sprong1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYI	07	05	06	018
WSH	110	013	010	133

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

D. Sprong(10)
D. Orlov (9), T. Wilson (19)
wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
0-1
1:29

Penalties

11 PIM·

13 PIM

1st

17:50Ryan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
18:34Braydon Coburn · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

4:20Matt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Zdeno Chara5 min
4:20Zdeno Chara · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
18:36Daniel Sprong · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

3rd

10:50Evgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
13:35Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
13:35Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
14:22Anthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: WSH

100%

Biggest swing: Daniel Sprong, 1st 1:29 — WSH 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 3.7 xG · 50 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att WSH

1 G · 3.7 xG · 50 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.00 G
All situations: 1 G3.7; 1.10 G
Even strength: 1 G3.2; 0.90 G
Power play: 0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

23%77%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

18
Shots on goal: 33; 40%
Faceoffs: 60%; 0/3
Power play: 0/2; 11
Penalty minutes: 13; 32
Hits: 36; 16
Blocked shots: 12; 8
Giveaways: 9; 4
Takeaways: 14

Box score

every player line

New York Islanders skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
2N. LeddyD	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	—	24:19
6R. PulockD	-1	3	0.10	3	3	2	—	22:15
3A. PelechD	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	20:10
12J. BaileyR	-1	2	0.23	0	1	0	—	19:31
29B. NelsonC	0	0	0.23	1	2	0	33	18:27
13M. BarzalC	-1	1	0.23	0	1	0	33	17:27
4A. GreeneD	0	2	0.20	1	3	0	—	17:21
7J. EberleR	-1	3	0.25	1	1	0	—	17:17
24S. MayfieldD	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	—	17:14
44J. PageauC	0	2	0.17	2	1	2	50	16:14
21K. PalmieriC	0	1	0.30	0	0	0	0	15:37
53C. CizikasC	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	38	14:40
26O. WahlstromR	0	1	0.12	2	0	0	—	14:26
18A. BeauvillierR	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	14:11
45B. CoburnD	0	0	0.00	1	3	2	—	13:06
15C. ClutterbuckR	0	0	0.00	7	0	0	—	12:50
14T. ZajacC	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	50	12:40
17M. MartinL	0	0	0.00	3	0	5	—	09:17

New York Islanders goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
30I. Sorokin(L)	33	32	1	.970	3.68	+2.68	58:11

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

1st period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score