Ducks at Sharks 2-3 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

San Jose Sharks

▸3

FinalTV FS-W, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Ducks scored first; the Sharks answered. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Labanc's goal at 4:48 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.0, SJS 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 28, SJS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. John Gibson stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.2 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Logan Couture (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Labanc (1 G), 3. John Leonard (1 G).

Three stars

★
L. Couture1 G, 1 A
★★
K. Labanc1 G
★★★
J. Leonard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	115	04	19	228
SJS	110	213	06	329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

S. Steel(1)
D. Heinen (2), J. Silfverberg (3)
deflectedxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
1-0
0:50
J. Leonard(1)PPG
M. Ferraro (5), T. Meier (5)
wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
1-1
9:43

2nd period

K. Labanc(2)
E. Kane (6), L. Couture (6)
deflectedxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
1-2
4:48
L. Couture(7)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
1-3
11:15

3rd period

M. Comtois(7)
R. Rakell (6), C. Fowler (4)
deflectedxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
2-3
2:00

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

8:02Maxime Comtois · Delaying game2 min

3rd

4:57Timo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
7:35Kevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SJS

100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Labanc, 2nd 4:48 — SJS 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

3 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.0 xG · 45 att SJS

3 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.02 G
All situations: 3 G1.8; 1.72 G
Even strength: 2 G1.5; 0.10 G
Power play: 1 G0.3; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

54%46%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 29; 45%
Faceoffs: 55%; 0/1
Power play: 1/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 15
Hits: 18; 13
Blocked shots: 16; 7
Giveaways: 9; 5
Takeaways: 10

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	2	2	—	24:50
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	1	0	—	22:59
4C. FowlerD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	0	0	0	—	19:42
67R. RakellR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	0	1	0	—	19:13
53M. ComtoisL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.36	2	0	2	—	18:29
23S. SteelC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.17	2	0	0	44	17:19
33J. SilfverbergR	0	1	1	+1	4	0.25	1	0	0	—	17:11
32J. LarssonD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	—	16:56
7B. HuttonD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	0	—	16:19
28J. HakanpääD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	1	0	—	16:13
43D. HeinenL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	1	1	0	—	15:25
48I. LundestromC	0	0	0	0	4	0.33	1	1	0	45	15:25
15R. GetzlafC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	57	13:49
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	1	2	0	33	13:48
61T. TerryR	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	0	0	0	—	13:33
24C. RowneyC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	0	12:55
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	38	12:18
20N. DeslauriersL	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	—	11:33

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(L)	29	26	3	.897	1.77	-1.23	58:22

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

1st

3rd

Box score