New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Kevin Hayes scoring at 4:22. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 4:22 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 36, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Farabee (3 G), 2. James van Riemsdyk (4 A), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Farabee3 G

- ★★J. van Riemsdyk4 A

- ★★★K. Hayes1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-118:42
2nd period
1-10:38
1-22:19
1-315:52
3rd period
2-31:03
3-36:27
Overtime
3-44:22
Penalties
1st
- 2:38
Ivan Provorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
- 10:11
Adam Pelech · Elbowingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 10:54
Brock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
- 14:26
Michael Raffl · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
2nd
- 0:25
Nolan Patrick · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
- 3:22
Mathew Barzal · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
- 4:51
Travis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
- 8:50
Nolan Patrick · Holdingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
3rd
- 10:58
Justin Braun · Holdingdrawn by Michael Dal Colle2 min
OT
- 3:40
Mathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kevin Hayes, OT 4:22 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.33 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.8
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.71
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/6
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 19
- Hits
- 15
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 12
- Giveaways
- 6
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






