New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 1-0 in overtime, Nick Leddy scoring at 2:23. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Leddy's goal at 2:23 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.1, PHI 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 28, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Brian Elliott (27 saves, .964), 3. Nick Leddy (1 G).
Three stars
- ★I. Sorokin30 saves, 1.000

- ★★B. Elliott27 saves, .964

- ★★★N. Leddy1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goalPenalties
2nd
- 1:36
Casey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
3rd
- 1:57
Kevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
- 7:09
Wade Allison · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Leddy, OT 2:23 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.2
- 1.71 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 27
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 9
- Giveaways
- 6
- 5
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
