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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 1-0 in overtime, Nick Leddy scoring at 2:23. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Leddy's goal at 2:23 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.1, PHI 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 28, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Brian Elliott (27 saves, .964), 3. Nick Leddy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PHI
    B. Elliott27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Leddy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI040901312128
PHIPHI080150601030

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau (13), J. Eberle (15)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +51 pts
    1-0
    2:23

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:36NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

3rd

  • 1:57PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 7:09PHIWade Allison · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Leddy, OT 2:23 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.22J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.18T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.17I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.17T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.12J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.11J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05C. Twarynski · Missed · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01C. Twarynski · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI0 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
2.11 G
All situations
0 G2.2
1.71 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI46%54%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000010.03200—23:17
2N. LeddyD101+130.09310—23:02
3A. PelechD000010.02400—22:05
29B. NelsonC000040.311102720:53
24S. MayfieldD000010.03140—19:37
21K. PalmieriC000020.1610010017:39
4A. GreeneD000010.03010—17:27
13M. BarzalC000020.25100017:00
14T. ZajacC000000.090305716:20
7J. EberleR011+130.32000—16:19
18A. BeauvillierR000000.03000—16:09
44J. PageauC011+130.145204015:50
47L. KomarovR000000.075107515:29
53C. CizikasC000030.292023815:19
28M. Dal ColleL000010.14100—14:40
45B. CoburnD000010.04020—12:53
17M. MartinL000010.01300—12:20
26O. WahlstromR000010.02010—09:24
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)303001.0002.25+2.2561:49

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).