Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-0. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 17:51 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were BUF 40, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Brian Elliott stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brian Elliott (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G), 3. Ivan Provorov.
Three stars
- ★B. Elliott40 saves, 1.000

- ★★T. Konecny1 G

- ★★★I. Provorov

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-117:51
3rd period
0-213:43
0-318:18
Penalties
1st
- 2:40
Robert Hagg · Interferencedrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
- 3:41
Michael Raffl · High stickingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
- 9:07
Jeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
2nd
- 10:35
Jakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
- 19:58
Rasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 17:51 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.70 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 2.10 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 1.83
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 37
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 5
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
