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Sabres at Flyers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Curtis Lazar's goal at 15:52 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were BUF 37, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Brian Elliott stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (2 G), 2. Curtis Lazar (2 G), 3. Jack Eichel (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    S. Reinhart2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Lazar2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF111315211637
PHIPHI0401117122

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    C. Lazar(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:52

2nd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(1)PPG
    T. Hall (3), J. Eichel (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    3:35
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(2)
    J. Eichel (5), T. Hall (4)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    6:28
  3. BUF
    C. Lazar(2)
    R. Sheahan (1), B. Montour (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    8:09

3rd period

  1. BUF
    H. Jokiharju(1)
    E. Staal (1)
    backhandxG 0.01
    5-0
    10:47
  2. PHI
    N. Aube-Kubel(1)
    M. Raffl (1), T. Sanheim (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    5-1
    17:55
  3. BUF
    V. Olofsson(2)PPG
    T. Hall (5), J. Eichel (6)
    snapxG 0.09
    6-1
    18:49

Penalties

BUF 2 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:34BUFBrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

2nd

  • 2:21PHICarter Hart · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

3rd

  • 13:20PHIPhilippe Myers · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 18:01PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · High sticking double minordrawn by Rasmus Dahlin4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Curtis Lazar, 1st 15:52 — BUF 46% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.16N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.12N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.12T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.10N. Aube-Kubel · Goal · xG 0.10M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI1 G · 1.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
2.76 G
All situations
1 G1.6
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF71%29%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 1.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
37
Shots on goal
22
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000+110.04800—20:43
26R. DahlinD000+130.06100—19:56
19J. McCabeD000010.01320—18:54
33C. MillerD000+200.03410—18:40
62B. MontourD011050.08232—18:40
23S. ReinhartC202060.44010018:38
9J. EichelC033030.280305618:36
4T. HallL033020.12020—18:20
10H. JokiharjuD101+220.12130—18:08
53J. SkinnerL000+250.53100—16:10
68V. OlofssonL101+130.43000—15:48
12E. StaalC011+100.000005015:27
24D. CozensC000+100.00000014:29
20C. EakinC000010.031006013:47
72T. ThompsonC000010.1910010013:26
15R. SheahanC011+210.012108313:12
13T. RiederL000010.18010—12:49
27C. LazarC202+220.114003312:17
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(W)22211.9551.58+0.5860:00

Season series

PHI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).