Wild at Ducks 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Minnesota Wild

Anaheim Ducks

▸1

FinalTV FS-N, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Minnesota Wild 1-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Deslauriers's goal at 4:09 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 34, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 3.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Kevin Shattenkirk (1 A), 3. Nicolas Deslauriers (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Gibson34 saves, 1.000
★★
K. Shattenkirk1 A
★★★
N. Deslauriers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	011	014	09	034
ANA	011	010	16	127

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

N. Deslauriers(1)
K. Shattenkirk (1), C. Rowney (1)
snapxG 0.16win prob +26 pts
0-1
4:09

Penalties

6 PIM·

12 PIM

1st

4:25Sam Steel · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
14:25Jordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
16:14Jakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
19:20Josh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
19:20Jordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

2nd

3:59Jani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
17:47Ryan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

3rd

0:22Derek Grant · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
16:16Nick Bjugstad · Chargingdrawn by John Gibson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: ANA

100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Deslauriers, 3rd 4:09 — ANA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 3.5 xG · 52 att ANA

1 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.50 G
All situations: 1 G2.0; 2.60 G
Even strength: 1 G1.7; 0.90 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

75%25%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

34
Shots on goal: 27; 47%
Faceoffs: 53%; 0/5
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 12; 21
Hits: 26; 7
Blocked shots: 15; 2
Giveaways: 5; 4
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Minnesota Wild skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
46J. SpurgeonD	-1	4	0.31	0	2	0	—	24:35
24M. DumbaD	0	0	0.03	4	1	0	—	23:00
20R. SuterD	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	—	22:21
25J. BrodinD	-1	2	0.05	0	0	0	—	20:26
97K. KaprizovL	-1	3	0.27	0	0	0	—	19:24
11Z. PariseL	0	5	0.44	0	0	0	43	18:05
22K. FialaL	0	5	0.61	3	0	0	—	18:00
13N. BoninoC	0	1	0.14	0	1	0	69	17:39
90M. JohanssonL	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	—	15:19
18J. GreenwayL	0	0	0.00	1	1	4	—	15:08
14J. Eriksson EkC	0	2	0.12	2	0	0	44	14:32
17M. FolignoL	0	0	0.17	5	0	0	—	13:44
49V. RaskC	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	67	13:23
21C. SoucyD	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	12:39
27N. BjugstadC	0	1	0.19	1	1	2	29	12:31
29G. PaterynD	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	—	12:25
7N. SturmC	-1	6	0.48	2	0	0	50	10:53
38R. HartmanR	-1	2	0.30	1	0	0	25	10:48

Minnesota Wild goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
33C. Talbot(L)	27	26	1	.963	1.96	+0.96	58:52

Season series

MIN leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score