Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 0:17. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 0:17 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 25, MIN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. John Gibson stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Henrique1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-07:11
1-18:06
1-218:26
2nd period
2-26:40
3rd period
2-312:01
3-314:14
Overtime
3-40:17
Penalties
2nd
- 16:51
Josh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
3rd
- 3:25
Derek Grant · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 6:19
Joel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
- 18:00
Josh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 0:17 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.43 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.5
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 4 G3.1
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.40 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 15
- Hits
- 11
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 10
- Giveaways
- 17
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
