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Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV BSN+, KCOP-13·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 0:17. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 0:17 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 25, MIN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. John Gibson stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA110171800325
MINMIN21001211212436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:11
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.31win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:06
  3. MIN
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:26

2nd period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:40

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.26win prob +33 pts
    2-3
    12:01
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    14:14

Overtime

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:17

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

2nd

  • 16:51ANAJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min

3rd

  • 3:25ANADerek Grant · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:19MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 18:00ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalANA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 0:17 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.31J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.26J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.16R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.12M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01
MIN4 G · 3.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMIN
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA32%68%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
11
8
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD000+100.00210—21:51
32J. LarssonD000+110.01210—20:34
4C. FowlerD000+110.03000—20:32
51H. FleuryD000-220.12210—20:16
42J. MansonD000+120.05204—18:02
34J. DrysdaleD000-310.05020—17:15
38D. GrantC101+150.410024016:14
67R. RakellR000-230.38000—16:05
43D. HeinenL000-130.23000—15:53
53M. ComtoisL101010.09100—15:18
92A. VolkovR011+110.36010—15:18
46T. ZegrasC011000.051004015:14
61T. TerryR000010.01000—14:28
48I. LundestromC000-110.111007014:19
49M. JonesL000000.0000010013:51
23S. SteelC000-100.032205613:38
14A. HenriqueC112+120.370005013:30
39S. CarrickC000010.062006712:03
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)36324.8893.46-0.5460:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).