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Blackhawks at Golden Knights
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV NBCSN, ATTSN-RM·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Reilly Smith scoring at 7:13. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 7:13 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were CHI 25, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 35 of 39 (.897); Robin Lehner stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (2 A), 3. Patrick Kane (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI073110601325
VGKVGK271901617439

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    slapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:44
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:35

2nd period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:17
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (5), J. Toews (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    12:07
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:20
  4. CHI
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:46

Overtime

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    7:13

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:38VGKMark Stone · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 10:53VGKNick Holden · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 12:39CHIDavid Kampf · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCHI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, OT 7:13 — VGK 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.26A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.19W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.18A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.16P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.15C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.13M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.10T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.07B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsVGK
1.93 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI24%76%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsVGK
25
Shots on goal
39
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
38
20
Blocked shots
27
12
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000+120.03340—28:20
44C. de HaanD011020.05160—25:44
5C. MurphyD000-100.00500—24:40
88P. KaneR033010.13010—24:06
6O. MaattaD000-110.12240—24:00
19J. ToewsC011-110.222006020:28
77K. DachC101010.263001119:45
8D. KubalikL101-120.26000—19:13
20B. SaadL000010.01110—18:10
68S. KoekkoekD000-130.20140—17:57
12A. DeBrincatR011+120.10100—17:33
17D. StromeC101+130.350005417:20
22R. CarpenterC000-210.034006716:29
91D. CaggiulaL000010.04500—15:39
36M. HighmoreC000010.02200012:30
64D. KampfC000-210.040026711:56
46L. CarlssonD000-210.04100—10:33
92A. NylanderL000-210.01100—09:42
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)39354.8973.51-0.4967:13

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).