New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 2:22 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.1, CAR 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 24, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.8 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.1 goals saved above expected.
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-14:32
1-112:05
2nd period
1-21:11
1-32:22
3rd period
1-414:02
Penalties
1st
- 0:16
Pavel Buchnevich · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
- 10:11
Haydn Fleury · Interferencedrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
- 10:49
Sebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
- 15:49
Jordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
2nd
- 1:08
Brendan Smith · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 20:00
Jordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
- 20:00
Pavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
3rd
- 4:24
Justin Williams · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
- 14:16
Jordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
- 14:16
Tony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 14:16
Tony DeAngelo · Misconduct10 min
- 14:16
Tony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 18:39
Chris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 2:22 — 69% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.2
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.14
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 22
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 37
- Hits
- 33
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 16
- Giveaways
- 10
- 7
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






