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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
New York Rangers
1
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-CR·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Rangers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 5:07 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were CAR 31, NYR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. James Reimer stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (37 saves, .974), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Reimer37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR06114311431
NYRNYR014114010138

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(1)
    J. Trouba (1), R. Strome (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:12
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(1)
    A. Svechnikov (2), S. Aho (5)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:18

3rd period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(1)
    B. Skjei (1), M. Necas (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +28 pts
    2-1
    5:07
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    10:26
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.81win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    19:29

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:33CARSami Vatanen · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 11:28NYRFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 5:18CARJake Gardiner · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 12:41NYRBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

3rd

  • 5:45NYRChris Kreider · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 18:29CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 3rd 5:07 — CAR 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.23A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.23F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.21C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.16B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.15B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.10J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
3.23 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR53%47%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
38
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
39
15
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000020.02100—25:02
6J. EdmundsonD000+340.08240—22:42
76B. SkjeiD011+300.00020—20:05
16V. TrocheckC000+120.060205318:10
45S. VatanenD000-110.02012—17:34
86T. TeravainenC101+320.23000016:45
20S. AhoC213+351.422003616:29
4H. FleuryD000+110.03010—16:12
11J. StaalC000-100.002025215:45
88M. NecasC011+130.180005015:06
37A. SvechnikovR011+220.35310—15:00
23B. McGinnL000030.21200—14:59
14J. WilliamsR000-100.3100010014:47
21N. NiederreiterR000010.00110—14:16
13W. FoegeleL101020.18110—13:19
48J. MartinookL000010.10210—12:54
43M. GeekieC000000.001007512:51
51J. GardinerD000020.02012—12:00
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)38371.9742.35+1.3560:00

Series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).