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Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-N, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 7-3. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Lizotte's goal at 7:36 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 50% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 28, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 3.5 goals below expected; Cal Petersen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (3 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 2 A), 3. Blake Lizotte (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    B. Lizotte1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0818212328
LAKLAK110213412735

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown (18), A. Iafallo (25)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:16

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:12
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    7:36
  3. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    8:29

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    4:00
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    5:33
  3. MIN
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    3-4
    15:35
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.21win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    17:47
  5. LAK
    D. Brown(17)EN
    wristxG 0.57
    3-6
    18:46
  6. LAK
    wristxG 0.02
    3-7
    19:00

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:41LAKBlake Lizotte · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min

2nd

  • 2:35MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 6:19LAKTrevor Moore · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 8:48MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 11:09LAKAlex Iafallo · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 1:31MINserved by K. Fiala · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:57MINKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Lizotte, 2nd 7:36 — LAK 50% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.57D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.15B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.14T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.12M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.05M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prokhorkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK7 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.33 G
All situations
6 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD101020.30410—23:56
20R. SuterD000010.01100—23:44
24M. DumbaD000-300.00210—23:13
25J. BrodinD011-110.00130—22:48
22K. FialaL000-460.35002—19:33
36M. ZuccarelloR022-220.18000—16:49
27A. GalchenyukC000000.022204415:51
11Z. PariseL000-220.240206715:36
19L. KuninC101-130.301104515:24
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.111025015:12
17M. FolignoL112+330.31100—15:10
29G. PaterynD000-220.02110—14:51
9M. KoivuC000-100.001005713:05
18J. GreenwayL011-100.02102—13:05
38R. HartmanR000-120.1612010012:51
77B. HuntD000-200.04000—11:28
26G. MayhewC000-210.00000010:19
6R. DonatoC000-220.23100009:45
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)34286.8242.50-3.5059:20

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).