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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-W·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 17:04 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were LAK 31, MIN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.6 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Dumba (2 A), 2. Alex Stalock (30 saves, .968), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01011407131
MINMIN1815314527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:50

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:29
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.01win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    17:04

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    0:28
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.21win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    6:39
  3. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.36
    1-5
    12:24

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:31MINMathew Dumba · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min

2nd

  • 6:45LAKBlake Lizotte · Hookingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 10:35LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 12:12MINRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 13:58MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min

3rd

  • 8:19LAKTyler Toffoli · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 2nd 17:04 — MIN 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.36M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.22M. Koivu · Goal · xG 0.21E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.15G. Mayhew · Goal · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.07M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
1.61 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
27
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-110.19100—23:35
15B. HuttonD101-220.07020—22:38
27A. MartinezD000-210.00010—19:02
26S. WalkerD000-110.11010—18:03
3M. RoyD000-120.04020—17:07
11A. KopitarC000-130.080005017:05
77J. CarterC000-130.200106016:56
22T. LewisC000010.002205016:19
23D. BrownR000-110.00000—16:13
17I. KovalchukL011030.12000—16:08
56K. MacDermidL000-120.06310—15:41
9A. KempeR011+110.061028315:26
10M. AmadioR000-240.160106315:09
19A. IafalloL000-110.0510010014:52
73T. ToffoliC000-110.09002014:36
13K. CliffordL000-210.08100—12:24
51A. WagnerL000-220.10100—12:05
46B. LizotteC000-210.150028010:41
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)27225.8152.39-2.6160:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).