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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV SUN, TSN2·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 12:40 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.2, TBL 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 32, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Carey Price stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.0 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Victor Hedman (2 G), 3. Barclay Goodrow.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Goodrow

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL08012012032
TBLTBL2121615423

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(10)
    N. Kucherov (50), E. Cernak (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:49
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(25)
    A. Cirelli (28)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:40

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(32)
    P. Maroon (14), B. Point (38)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(11)PPG
    K. Shattenkirk (26), Y. Gourde (17)
    slapxG 0.03
    0-4
    18:57

Penalties

MTL 21 PIM·TBL 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:59TBLZach Bogosian · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Weal2 min

2nd

  • 15:52TBLKevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 20:00MTLBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 20:00TBLMikhail Sergachev · Fightingdrawn by Shea Weber5 min
  • 20:00MTLShea Weber · Fightingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev5 min

3rd

  • 14:59TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Dale Weise2 min
  • 17:26MTLBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 17:26MTLBen Chiarot · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:44MTLChristian Folin · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 1st 12:40 — TBL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.32T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Missed · xG 0.17B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.13B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.10B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.20 G
All situations
4 G2.0
1.70 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL52%48%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
23
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
23
5
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
3
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-130.13000—23:27
24P. DanaultC000-110.011106421:05
43J. WealC000-210.040007520:31
41P. ByronL000-330.27100—19:30
8B. ChiarotD000-210.114014—19:25
13M. DomiC000-150.260003319:19
14N. SuzukiC000030.170004418:48
40J. ArmiaR000030.5400010018:45
54C. HudonL000030.21110—17:14
6S. WeberD000-100.00315—17:12
77B. KulakD000-120.06000—15:48
62A. LehkonenL000-130.17010—15:36
32C. FolinD000000.00102—14:10
61X. OuelletD000000.04000—13:57
71J. EvansC000-140.160007513:13
27K. AlznerD000-100.00010—10:52
22D. WeiseR000000.00300—09:23
42L. VejdemoC000000.00200007:49
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)23194.8262.03-1.9760:00

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).