Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 8:28 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were TBL 23, MTL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (38 saves, .974), 2. Nick Suzuki, 3. Max Domi (1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy38 saves, .974

- ★★N. Suzuki

- ★★★M. Domi1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-00:42
1-15:48
2-18:28
Penalties
1st
- 3:42
Yanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
- 11:31
Victor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 15:39
Patrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 15:39
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
- 18:27
Patrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Dale Weise5 min
- 18:27
Dale Weise · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
3rd
- 10:46
Ben Chiarot · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- 10:46
Victor Hedman · Slashingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
- 12:18
Ondrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 8:28 — 46% → 59%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.2
- 1.52 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.9
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.48 – 2.17
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/3
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 29
- Hits
- 28
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 15
- Giveaways
- 15
- 6
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
