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Wild at Red Wings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸7
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV FS-D, FS-N·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Donato's goal at 8:19 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were MIN 26, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 12 of 17 (.706), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Dumba (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ryan Hartman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN31031016726
DETDET0911007126

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(8)
    M. Koivu (14), R. Donato (9)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    7:52
  2. MIN
    R. Donato(13)
    R. Hartman (10), G. Pateryn (2)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:19
  3. MIN
    M. Dumba(5)
    K. Fiala (26), J. Brodin (24)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    10:12

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    7:33
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(6)PPG
    A. Galchenyuk (15), M. Zuccarello (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    10:30
  3. MIN
    J. Greenway(8)
    J. Eriksson Ek (20), Z. Parise (17)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    12:05
  4. MIN
    K. Fiala(18)
    M. Koivu (15)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    18:16

3rd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(19)
    K. Fiala (27), M. Dumba (18)
    slapxG 0.12
    7-1
    9:11

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:10MINMikko Koivu · Hookingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 5:23DETBrendan Perlini · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Koivu2 min

2nd

  • 2:22DETDennis Cholowski · Slashingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
  • 4:06MINKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 9:00DETLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 16:05MINMikko Koivu · Roughingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

3rd

  • 17:13DETLuke Glendening · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMIN goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Donato, 1st 8:19 — MIN 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.15A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.14D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.08D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.06B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.04A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDET
2.27 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.86 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN60%40%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDET
26
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
3
7
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000010.03020—22:10
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00210—20:34
24M. DumbaD213+430.18100—20:00
25J. BrodinD011+410.01110—19:30
29G. PaterynD011+210.05010—19:20
11Z. PariseL011+130.24000—18:01
14J. Eriksson EkC011+110.020005317:44
77B. HuntD000040.16030—17:22
18J. GreenwayL101+110.13010—15:58
27A. GalchenyukC011-100.081106015:31
36M. ZuccarelloR011-120.13010—15:06
17M. FolignoL000-100.21110—13:53
26G. MayhewC000+320.16400013:35
38R. HartmanR112+220.17010—13:23
9M. KoivuC022+300.050144713:02
12E. StaalC101+220.150103812:51
22K. FialaL123+320.15002—12:47
6R. DonatoC112+210.32100012:44
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)26251.9621.73+0.7359:25

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).