Skip to content
Red Wings at Wild
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 1:12 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 37% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were DET 27, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Dumba (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET21105011227
MINMIN11231506433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(7)
    D. Larkin (23), T. Daley (3)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:08
  2. MIN
    J. Greenway(6)
    M. Dumba (12)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:28
  3. DET
    F. Zadina(8)PPG
    T. Daley (4), V. Filppula (13)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    16:39

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(13)
    E. Staal (21), M. Dumba (13)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:12
  2. MIN
    J. Zucker(14)
    V. Rask (7), K. Fiala (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    2:19
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(17)
    Z. Parise (13), M. Zuccarello (15)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    11:39

Penalties

DET 0 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:45MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min

3rd

  • 18:47MINMikko Koivu · High stickingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDET goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 1:12 — MIN 37% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.46E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.33M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.25J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.14E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.11J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.08M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
4 G3.5
0.61 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET24%76%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
9
11
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-210.06010—27:37
22P. NemethD000-200.00010—22:49
71D. LarkinC011010.031005621:20
11F. ZadinaR202070.57010—20:51
59T. BertuzziL000030.16010—20:11
21D. CholowskiD000-130.06030—19:19
74M. BoweyD000030.06120—17:23
83T. DaleyD022020.04100—17:22
14R. FabbriC000-210.280005016:54
3A. BiegaD000-100.05110—14:59
41L. GlendeningC000-100.001005214:36
43D. HelmC000030.10000013:58
73A. ErneL000000.002003313:55
51V. FilppulaC011-210.022003813:30
70C. EhnC000-110.020105013:21
8J. AbdelkaderL000-110.00200—12:33
48G. SmithR000000.00100—11:57
29B. PerliniL000-200.09000—11:53
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)33294.8793.04-0.9655:32

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).