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Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Dallas Stars 4-3. The Stars scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 14:44 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.3, BOS 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 34, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Ritchie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jaroslav Halak (31 saves, .912).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    N. Ritchie1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Halak31 saves, .912

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL19010215334
BOSBOS11021216428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(19)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    17:38
  2. BOS
    C. Coyle(16)PPG
    T. Krug (35), B. Marchand (55)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    19:44

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    14:44
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    16:01

3rd period

  1. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:18
  2. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    3:53
  3. DAL
    J. Benn (18), T. Seguin (33)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    3-4
    17:36

Penalties

DAL 9 PIM·BOS 9 PIM

1st

  • 13:07DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 17:04BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 18:18DALAndrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 11:24DALJoe Pavelski · Fightingdrawn by David Krejci5 min
  • 11:24BOSDavid Krejci · Fightingdrawn by Joe Pavelski5 min
  • 18:49BOSChris Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalDAL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 14:44 — BOS 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.19C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.19D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.15C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.10O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.09C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsBOS
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL47%53%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsBOS
34
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
28
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD101+230.24110—25:13
3J. KlingbergD011020.03100—22:55
23E. LindellD011020.08100—21:03
2J. OleksiakD000-120.04100—20:08
10C. PerryR000010.22410—18:14
91T. SeguinC011-140.241023317:47
18J. DickinsonC011+100.002103017:07
14J. BennL112030.342103316:34
24R. HintzC000+120.08110015:22
13M. JanmarkC000-230.110002514:55
16J. PavelskiC011010.054157114:52
45R. PolakD000-220.07220—14:20
34D. GurianovR101+150.42100—14:13
5A. SekeraD000-120.05010—13:56
47A. RadulovR000-210.24100—13:49
12R. FaksaC000000.072007513:41
15B. ComeauL000000.00200—12:51
11A. CoglianoC000010.00202011:48
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)28244.8572.44-1.5657:40

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).