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New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, MSG+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 6:04 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 31, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Gusev (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G), 3. Pavel Zacha (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Gusev1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    P. Zacha2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1172816431
DETDET0909110128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood (11), D. Mermis (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:15

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(14)PPG
    P. Zacha (21), N. Gusev (28)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    6:04
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    8:51

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    9:40
  2. NJD
    N. Gusev(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    13:40

Penalties

NJD 31 PIM·DET 20 PIM

1st

  • 5:01DETserved by T. Bertuzzi · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 4:26DETFrans Nielsen · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 6:53DETDylan Larkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:45NJDMiles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 14:36NJDPavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 3:07DETAlex Biega · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 9:06NJDJack Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 11:51DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 19:16NJDJohn Hayden · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi5 min
  • 19:16DETTyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:16NJDP.K. Subban · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:16NJDJohn Hayden · Game misconductdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 2nd 6:04 — NJD 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.29D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.21V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.19T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.05B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Filppula · Goal · xG 0.02C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.00T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.00F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
2.64 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.81 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.83 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD70%30%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 1.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
31
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
3/5
Power play
1/4
31
Penalty minutes
20
11
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD000020.052210—23:00
28D. SeversonD011+110.02020—22:44
13N. HischierC000020.220105719:44
32D. MermisD011+110.01010—19:04
86J. HughesC011010.04002018:57
44M. WoodL011+120.19002—17:49
25M. MuellerD011000.01010—17:20
21K. PalmieriC101030.53110016:45
19T. ZajacC000+100.000008216:41
37P. ZachaC022020.100023614:53
5C. CarrickD000010.00000—14:37
16K. RooneyC000010.02210013:59
33F. ClaessonD000000.00000—13:56
14J. AndersonR101+130.39110—13:51
97N. GusevL112030.35000—13:45
63J. BrattL101040.37010—12:49
41M. McLeodC000030.123105512:43
15J. HaydenC000020.182015012:37
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(W)28271.9641.56+0.5659:28

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).