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NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
New Jersey Devils
▸5
FinalTV FS-D+, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Butcher's goal at 4:42 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were DET 20, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.7 goals below expected; Louis Domingue stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 2. Louis Domingue (19 saves, .950), 3. Will Butcher (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    L. Domingue19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    W. Butcher1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0511005120
NJDNJD01516413534

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Hirose(2)
    M. Bowey (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    3:32
  2. NJD
    K. Palmieri(8)
    T. Hall (16), S. Vatanen (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:58

3rd period

  1. NJD
    W. Butcher(3)
    N. Hischier (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +26 pts
    1-2
    4:42
  2. NJD
    B. Coleman(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:41
  3. NJD
    T. Hall(4)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.38win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    15:23
  4. NJD
    B. Coleman(7)
    M. Wood (4), J. Hayden (1)
    backhandxG 0.17
    1-5
    19:48

Penalties

DET 15 PIM·NJD 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:21NJDTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 10:19DETBrendan Perlini · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 10:41NJDNikita Gusev · Interferencedrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 13:58NJDWayne Simmonds · Cross checkingdrawn by Madison Bowey2 min
  • 17:05DETMadison Bowey · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 19:07DETMadison Bowey · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 6:04DETRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 13:50NJDKyle Palmieri · Cross checkingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 16:50DETTyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 16:50NJDP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 19:37NJDWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Dylan McIlrath5 min
  • 19:37DETDylan McIlrath · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Will Butcher, 3rd 4:42 — NJD 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.38T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.31D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.21N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.19J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.18B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.18B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.17N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.14N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.12W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.08N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tennyson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Goal · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 3.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
1.71 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET23%77%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
20
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
26
Hits
28
8
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22P. NemethD000000.00220—23:16
17F. HronekD000-230.12010—22:11
21D. CholowskiD000-210.01110—20:38
72A. AthanasiouC000-220.1710010019:11
71D. LarkinC000-240.513004718:59
51V. FilppulaC000-300.002006418:26
74M. BoweyD011-110.11014—18:12
59T. BertuzziL000-200.07002—17:56
81F. NielsenC000030.140103817:49
20D. McIlrathD000-100.02405—16:57
41L. GlendeningC000000.042105316:03
14R. FabbriC000-310.06202015:55
29B. PerliniL000-130.21102—14:33
67T. HiroseL101010.12000—13:27
52J. EricssonD000-200.00410—13:14
43D. HelmC000000.00000013:05
70C. EhnC000000.0040010007:42
39A. ManthaR000010.07000—03:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)33294.8793.26-0.7459:23

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).