Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 14:45 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 22, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Carey Price stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 2. Anthony Mantha (2 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Athanasiou2 G

- ★★A. Mantha2 A

- ★★★N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-05:59
2-016:03
2nd period
2-11:24
3-112:40
3rd period
3-25:04
3-310:41
3-414:45
Penalties
1st
- 14:35
Gustav Lindstrom · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
2nd
- 12:07
Gustav Lindstrom · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 19:39
Nate Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
3rd
- 12:18
Phillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
- 15:27
Madison Bowey · Holdingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 17:16
Joel Armia · Roughingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, 3rd 14:45 — 53% → 89%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.03 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.6
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.8
- 0.22 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.55
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 9
- Hits
- 15
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 5
- Giveaways
- 19
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






