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Canadiens at Red Wings
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, TSN2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 14:45 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 22, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Carey Price stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 2. Anthony Mantha (2 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Athanasiou2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Mantha2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL291904322
DETDET04111310425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:59
  2. MTL
    J. Petry(9)PPG
    N. Suzuki (27), J. Weal (5)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    16:03

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha (16), D. Larkin (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:24
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(13)PPG
    J. Weal (6), T. Tatar (33)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    12:40

3rd period

  1. DET
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    5:04
  2. DET
    A. Mantha (17), D. Larkin (27)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +33 pts
    3-3
    10:41
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.10win prob +36 pts
    3-4
    14:45

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:35DETGustav Lindstrom · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 12:07DETGustav Lindstrom · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 19:39MTLNate Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

3rd

  • 12:18MTLPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 15:27DETMadison Bowey · Holdingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 17:16MTLJoel Armia · Roughingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMTL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, 3rd 14:45 — DET 53% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.23D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.21R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.17M. Green · Goal · xG 0.17A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.17A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.12R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.09V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.04M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.02A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.00M. Green · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDET
2.03 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.22 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL39%61%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDET
22
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD101-140.33100—25:49
6S. WeberD000-220.11040—21:50
77B. KulakD000-140.23000—21:28
8B. ChiarotD000-320.06120—20:23
61X. OuelletD000000.00220—18:16
90T. TatarL011010.14220—16:58
62A. LehkonenL000-200.001003316:52
43J. WealC022000.000005016:29
14N. SuzukiC112-230.320005516:03
17I. KovalchukL000-210.20000—15:38
13M. DomiC000-210.000004315:31
24P. DanaultC000000.031123315:15
40J. ArmiaR000-200.00102—14:20
41P. ByronL011+100.00010—13:37
21N. CousinsC011+120.23000013:29
44N. ThompsonC101+110.220024612:25
92J. DrouinL000-210.14010—11:45
53V. MeteD000+100.00010—08:07
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)25214.8402.57-1.4359:33

Season series

DET leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).