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Red Wings at Canadiens
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FS-D, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 15:38 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 34, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Carey Price stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (1 G), 2. Joel Armia (1 G), 3. Jonathan Bernier (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Mantha1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Armia1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Bernier33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET21511118434
MTLMTL112112011235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:33
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:07
  3. DET
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    19:37

2nd period

  1. MTL
    M. Domi(2)PPG
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    4:34
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(6)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    15:38

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.43win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:02

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:57DETAnthony Mantha · High stickingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 5:16DETPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 14:22MTLNick Suzuki · Slashingdrawn by Christoffer Ehn2 min

3rd

  • 2:25MTLChristian Folin · Elbowingdrawn by Christoffer Ehn2 min
  • 19:34DETAnthony Mantha · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalDET goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 2nd 15:38 — DET 51% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.38J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.23P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.13T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.06S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.05J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMTL
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET69%31%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMTL
34
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
32
21
Blocked shots
15
23
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD022+310.04120—22:50
22P. NemethD000030.10012—21:37
25M. GreenD000-110.03050—21:13
17F. HronekD000000.01110—21:02
71D. LarkinC011+130.181205220:45
59T. BertuzziL101+140.64210—19:19
39A. ManthaR101+140.581145017:44
21D. CholowskiD011020.16110—15:46
74M. BoweyD000+200.01030—15:18
8J. AbdelkaderL000+120.2110010014:56
61J. de la RoseL011+200.007004614:48
72A. AthanasiouC000040.320004614:37
43D. HelmC101050.41010013:57
41L. GlendeningC101+130.674107513:50
67T. HiroseL011010.13020—13:25
51V. FilppulaC011000.000004012:56
70C. EhnC000-100.00100011:47
73A. ErneL000010.0940010010:08
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(W)35332.9432.08+0.0859:59

Season series

DET leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).