Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 2:53 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.3, PIT 2.1; shots on goal were DET 28, PIT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 18 of 19 (.947); Matt Murray stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrew Agozzino (1 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Hornqvist2 G, 1 A

- ★★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Agozzino1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-05:37
1-17:58
1-214:35
2nd period
1-32:53
1-47:55
1-511:53
Penalties
1st
- 13:54
Justin Abdelkader · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Agozzino2 min
3rd
- 15:37
Dylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 2nd 2:53 — 69% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.1
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.1
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 34
- Hits
- 18
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 5
- 8
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-0
5@
3Final
2@
1OTFinal
1@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






