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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
3
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 10:42 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 28, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.9 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT2121927528
DETDET0711328328

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(16)
    K. Letang (10), E. Malkin (17)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:37
  2. PIT
    C. Ruhwedel(1)
    E. Malkin (18), J. Guentzel (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:24

2nd period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(7)PPG
    T. Bertuzzi (15), D. Larkin (12)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    6:02
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(8)
    J. Guentzel (15), C. Ruhwedel (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    10:42

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. Kahun(8)
    J. Marino (10), M. Pettersson (9)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    1:38
  2. DET
    F. Hronek(6)
    D. Helm (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:00
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(8)PPG
    R. Fabbri (6), D. Cholowski (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    4-3
    16:56
  4. PIT
    J. Marino(3)EN
    K. Letang (11), B. Tanev (10)
    slapxG 0.46win prob +1 pts
    5-3
    19:51

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 5:14PITAlex Galchenyuk · Trippingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min
  • 11:42PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 19:34DETPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

3rd

  • 15:24PITBryan Rust · High stickingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 18:14DETserved by B. Perlini · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 2nd 10:42 — PIT 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.35F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.20D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.05D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.02D. McIlrath · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
2.44 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.94 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT49%51%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
28
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
5
9
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD022+110.01122—23:40
4J. SchultzD000010.02100—23:13
3J. JohnsonD000020.06340—20:53
6J. MarinoD112+220.55100—20:09
17B. RustR000+220.32032—19:36
59J. GuentzelC123+220.3200010019:36
71E. MalkinC123+240.470205819:29
53T. BluegerC000020.062105017:05
2C. RuhwedelD112+120.05300—16:58
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000040.09100—16:55
13B. TanevL011+100.00300—16:43
28M. PetterssonD011+200.00100—15:13
12D. SimonC000020.1400010014:26
24D. KahunC101+110.17010014:17
19J. McCannL000+110.161105613:58
18A. GalchenyukC000000.00102008:41
37S. LaffertyC000010.001001707:33
14S. NoesenR000010.031005007:25
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)28253.8932.05-0.9559:50

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).