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Ducks at Sabres
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV PRIME, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Getzlaf's goal at 10:45 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 1.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 28, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Jonas Johansson stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Ritchie (1 G), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G), 3. Ryan Miller (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    N. Ritchie1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Miller31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA31101205328
BUFBUF17111015233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(17)
    S. Steel (15), M. Del Zotto (9)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:15
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(12)
    R. Rakell (21), D. Shore (5)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:45
  3. ANA
    N. Ritchie(6)
    T. Terry (8), A. Henrique (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    12:00
  4. BUF
    J. Larsson(5)
    S. Wilson (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    18:53

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(4)PPG
    J. Eichel (38), J. Vesey (10)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    11:41

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:52BUFLawrence Pilut · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Troy Terry0 min

2nd

  • 10:32ANACam Fowler · Interferencedrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 14:01BUFScott Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min

3rd

  • 13:01ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalANA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Getzlaf, 1st 10:45 — ANA 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.15C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.14J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.13C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.11J. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.08C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02S. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 1.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsBUF
1.63 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA45%55%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsBUF
28
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
11
16
Blocked shots
5
5
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000+130.04000—25:32
42J. MansonD000020.05230—24:07
44M. Del ZottoD011+220.03110—19:49
15R. GetzlafC101010.080106719:03
4C. FowlerD000+120.07032—18:11
33J. SilfverbergR101+130.34012—17:01
38D. GrantC000+120.091002516:49
49M. JonesL000+100.00110—16:13
2B. GuhleD000000.00330—15:52
24C. RowneyC000000.12300015:21
67R. RakellR011020.12200—15:17
34S. SteelC011+100.060003614:48
5K. HolzerD000000.00220—14:24
14A. HenriqueC011010.031007914:19
61T. TerryR011+150.26010—12:52
37N. RitchieL101+130.24100—12:40
29D. ShoreC011010.04100012:32
20N. DeslauriersL000010.01400—12:19
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)33312.9391.85-0.1559:42

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).