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Sabres at Ducks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 18:40 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 22% to 38%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 33, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Henrique (2 G), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G, 2 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF2190806233
ANAANA11131317531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Eichel(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:35
  2. BUF
    V. Olofsson(6)PPG
    S. Reinhart (4), J. Skinner (2)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    16:36
  3. ANA
    A. Henrique(3)
    J. Manson (1), R. Rakell (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    18:40

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(3)
    J. Silfverberg (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    0:57
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(2)PPG
    S. Steel (1), C. Fowler (2)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:14
  3. ANA
    A. Henrique(4)
    M. Comtois (1), J. Silfverberg (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    19:47

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(3)EN
    J. Manson (2)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:47

Penalties

BUF 18 PIM·ANA 24 PIM

1st

  • 5:07BUFKyle Okposo · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 12:53BUFHenri Jokiharju · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 15:22ANAAdam Henrique · Holding the stickdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

2nd

  • 1:45BUFHenri Jokiharju · Interferencedrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 1:45ANAMaxime Comtois · Slashingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min
  • 5:44ANAJacob Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:16BUFJohan Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 9:27ANACarter Rowney · Boardingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
  • 9:27BUFMarco Scandella · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 9:27ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
  • 10:15BUFRasmus Dahlin · Delaying game smothering puck2 min
  • 11:36ANAOndrej Kase · Slashingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 15:57BUFLinus Ullmark · Roughingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 15:57ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 15:57ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 20:00ANAKorbinian Holzer · Delaying game smothering puckdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 20:00ANAAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 20:00BUFJohan Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

3rd

  • 5:33ANAJacob Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 19:47BUFJeff Skinner · High stickingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 19:47ANAMaxime Comtois · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalBUF goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 1st 18:40 — ANA 22% → 38%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.20A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.18C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.14K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsANA
3.22 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF58%42%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsANA
33
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/7
Power play
1/4
18
Penalty minutes
24
14
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
7
15
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-210.11010—21:50
26R. DahlinD000-120.05012—21:03
33C. MillerD000+100.00310—20:33
53J. SkinnerL011-190.60002—19:52
23S. ReinhartC011-210.28000019:43
9J. EichelC101-240.381203919:27
90M. JohanssonL000-110.200104419:23
19J. McCabeD000-200.00440—18:48
68V. OlofssonL101-220.52000—18:02
6M. ScandellaD000-110.13022—16:06
37C. MittelstadtC000010.130102514:53
13J. VeseyL000030.20110—14:50
17V. SobotkaC000-120.0710010014:30
10H. JokiharjuD000010.06104—14:04
22J. LarssonL000-120.260045511:03
21K. OkposoR000010.033025010:12
28Z. GirgensonsC000-100.00000010:01
71E. RodriguesC000020.14000006:57
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)30264.8672.67-1.3359:32

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).