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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 17:59 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 28, PHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Carter Hart stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (1 G), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G), 3. Jakub Vrana (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Vrana1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2801109228
PHIPHI21313011327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:24
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:11
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:34
  4. PHI
    M. Raffl (7), P. Myers (10)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    19:18

2nd period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(13)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    17:59

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 17:09WSHLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 17:09WSHRichard Panik · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 3:40PHIPhilippe Myers · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:56PHIMikhail Vorobyev · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:33PHISean Couturier · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 8:49PHISean Couturier · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:30PHIPhilippe Myers · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 17:24WSHDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 2nd 17:59 — PHI 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.52K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.25S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.23N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.22K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.19N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.18S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.14I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.06J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vorobyev · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
2.42 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH43%57%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
27
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/5
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-110.05020—24:47
9D. OrlovD000020.05112—22:27
8A. OvechkinL000-240.27400—20:35
92E. KuznetsovC011000.140001819:10
20L. EllerC000020.190124018:55
43T. WilsonR011030.32100—18:15
19N. BackstromC101-240.221104317:40
33R. GudasD000+120.02400—17:25
13J. VranaL101+120.15000—17:14
77T. OshieR000-100.071101417:13
6M. KempnyD011010.02110—16:51
34J. SiegenthalerD000000.00010—14:41
62C. HagelinL000020.26000—14:28
3N. JensenD000-110.03100—13:04
26N. DowdC000010.052202212:02
14R. PanikR000000.001010—11:04
21G. HathawayR000030.54310—10:44
28B. LeipsicL000000.00500—10:11
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)27243.8892.78-0.2259:14

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).