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Avalanche at Devils
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV ALT2, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 11:23 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 34, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 G), 2. Philipp Grubauer (28 saves, .933), 3. Blake Coleman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    B. Coleman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL010213311534
NJDNJD01204214230

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(13)
    N. MacKinnon (38), S. Girard (20)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    11:23
  2. COL
    I. Cole(4)
    V. Kamenev (4), P. Bellemare (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    15:34

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(14)
    C. Makar (23), N. MacKinnon (39)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    0:08
  2. NJD
    B. Coleman(13)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    6:36
  3. COL
    P. Bellemare(7)SHG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    13:49
  4. NJD
    J. Boqvist(4)PPG
    S. Vatanen (17), P. Zacha (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09
    4-2
    18:37
  5. COL
    M. Rantanen(15)EN
    S. Girard (21), I. Cole (16)
    snapxG 0.44
    5-2
    19:44

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·NJD 26 PIM

2nd

  • 0:46NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 5:04NJDMiles Wood · Holdingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 7:35COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 12:37COLTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 13:49NJDWayne Simmonds · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:49NJDserved by J. Boqvist · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:49NJDWayne Simmonds · Game misconduct10 min
  • 16:47COLMatt Calvert · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCOL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 11:23 — COL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.17M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.15D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.11K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.11J. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.09P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02B. Street · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.01B. Street · On goal · xG 0.00B. Street · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNJD
3.84 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.93 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL77%23%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNJD
34
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
26
10
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+120.05000—20:42
28I. ColeD112+220.04110—20:33
29N. MacKinnonC022+230.301005620:29
49S. GirardD022+110.02010—20:23
6E. JohnsonD000+220.07210—19:49
72J. DonskoiR000020.1600010018:54
92G. LandeskogL000+220.440204318:09
27R. GravesD000+200.02212—18:03
37J. CompherL000-140.530003816:23
16N. ZadorovD000+100.00210—15:23
83M. NietoL000010.14010—15:11
96M. RantanenR303+330.820006714:58
11M. CalvertL000+110.12012—14:41
91N. KadriC000-150.581004414:22
41P. BellemareL112+220.060103613:24
95A. BurakovskyL000030.32000—13:17
81V. KamenevC011+110.03100009:37
17T. JostC000+100.13002009:27
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)30282.9331.75-0.2560:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).