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Penguins at Predators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teddy Blueger's goal at 14:50 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 25, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Juuso Riikola (1 G, 1 A), 2. Teddy Blueger (1 G), 3. Tristan Jarry (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Riikola1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Blueger1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT372909525
NSHNSH11001319232

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. Simon(3)
    J. Riikola (2), C. Ruhwedel (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:17
  2. NSH
    C. Smith(6)
    M. Ekholm (16)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:30
  3. PIT
    A. Galchenyuk(3)
    M. Pettersson (13), J. Marino (12)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:16
  4. PIT
    T. Blueger(5)
    Z. Aston-Reese (6), B. Tanev (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    14:50

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(14)
    J. Guentzel (20), E. Malkin (23)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    4:38
  2. PIT
    J. Riikola(1)
    D. Kahun (12), J. McCann (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    18:04

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(8)
    R. Josi (22), R. Grimaldi (12)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    9:18

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·NSH 18 PIM

1st

  • 12:15NSHNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 16:22PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

3rd

  • 8:59NSHMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 8:59PITBryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 8:59NSHMatt Irwin · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 8:59NSHMattias Ekholm · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:59NSHMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 15:23PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalPIT goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Teddy Blueger, 1st 14:50 — PIT 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.14R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.13K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.11C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNSH
3.45 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.45 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT46%54%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNSH
25
Shots on goal
32
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
18
9
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-230.17120—25:41
3J. JohnsonD000-220.09130—23:20
28M. PetterssonD011+110.04010—21:12
17B. RustR101+110.55102—20:51
53T. BluegerC101+220.140003618:45
6J. MarinoD011+210.01010—18:27
59J. GuentzelC011+120.39000018:11
71E. MalkinC011+120.731084717:59
13B. TanevL011+110.01150—16:38
46Z. Aston-ReeseL011+120.10000—16:35
19J. McCannL011-110.400005415:42
2C. RuhwedelD011+300.03000—14:39
50J. RiikolaD112+420.21120—14:29
24D. KahunC011000.00000012:56
18A. GalchenyukC101020.23000011:39
12D. SimonC101+120.05000010:50
37S. LaffertyC000+100.171003310:23
36J. BlandisiC000+110.092104007:56
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)32302.9382.55+0.5560:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).