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Blue Jackets at Red Wings
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, FS-O·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 1:19 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 39, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (2 A), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Erne (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Jones2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Erne2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ213114212539
DETDET2416011321

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:11
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois (11), S. Jones (14)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:02
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:06
  4. DET
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:17

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin (14), F. Hronek (12)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    1:58
  2. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    3-3
    6:54

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    4-3
    1:19
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.55win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:53

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:58CBJMarko Dano · Interferencedrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

2nd

  • 1:03CBJNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Mike Green2 min
  • 5:29DETAnthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 9:20DETPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 18:52CBJBoone Jenner · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCBJ goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 3rd 1:19 — CBJ 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.23A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.19R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.13A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.12A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.11F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.10A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.10V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.08B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.07V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.07V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.07F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.02T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01M. Green · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsDET
3.64 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ70%30%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsDET
39
Shots on goal
21
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD022+360.13110—25:52
58D. SavardD000+110.02010—23:57
8Z. WerenskiD000+210.06100—23:46
44V. GavrikovD000+110.07230—22:20
13C. AtkinsonR112+140.41010—20:13
71N. FolignoL000+130.51302—19:56
38B. JennerC011+260.730027019:03
28O. BjorkstrandR112+130.361003317:56
14G. NyquistR112+320.62000—17:10
10A. WennbergC000000.000003315:21
18P. DuboisC112+130.320006714:56
46D. KukanD000-120.00100—14:13
20R. NashC000-110.071005514:06
42A. TexierL011030.19000—13:29
50E. RobinsonL000+100.04000—11:19
11K. StenlundC101-120.09000008:34
56M. DanoC000-110.02202007:13
2A. PeekeD000-200.00010—06:12
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)21183.8571.91-1.0959:29

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).