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Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
FinalTV NBCSP, TVAS·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 15:11 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 30, PHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.6 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anthony Duclair (2 G), 3. Ivan Provorov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Duclair2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT19111110330
PHIPHI260827421

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(11)
    M. Frost (2), C. Giroux (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:45
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(10)
    J. Pageau (7), C. Brown (15)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:27
  3. PHI
    S. Gostisbehere(4)
    T. Pitlick (4), J. van Riemsdyk (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    6:16

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Duclair(12)SHG
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:18

3rd period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(7)
    J. Farabee (8), S. Laughton (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    3:17
  2. OTT
    A. Duclair(13)
    T. Chabot (15), D. DeMelo (4)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +37 pts
    3-3
    15:00
  3. PHI
    S. Laughton(4)
    K. Hayes (7), J. van Riemsdyk (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +38 pts
    3-4
    15:11

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·PHI 16 PIM

1st

  • 14:07PHIJustin Braun · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 18:43PHIJakub Voracek · Fightingdrawn by Nick Paul5 min
  • 18:43OTTNick Paul · Fightingdrawn by Jakub Voracek5 min

2nd

  • 0:19PHIJoel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau5 min
  • 0:19OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
  • 8:19PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 12:19OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 10:36PHIIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:35OTTBrady Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 19:35OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, 3rd 15:11 — PHI 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.22M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.15I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.15O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.11S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.11O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.09I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.09K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.08O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 1.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
3.33 G
All situations
4 G1.7
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT77%23%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
30
Shots on goal
21
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
16
22
Hits
19
6
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-110.02210—26:20
2D. DeMeloD011+210.03000—25:09
7B. TkachukL101-160.857143321:02
28C. BrownR011030.32000—20:53
10A. DuclairL202+270.78000—20:13
63T. EnnisR000030.36200—19:38
81R. HainseyD000-300.02100—18:39
36C. WhiteC000-120.190005617:32
44J. PageauC011010.013054216:59
22N. ZaitsevD000-110.04110—16:51
71C. TierneyC000-210.010106215:27
74M. BorowieckiD000+100.00310—15:07
51A. AnisimovC000-100.350005614:52
90V. NamestnikovC000020.12210013:40
29C. GoloubefD000010.02000—12:07
21L. BrownC000+110.18000010:13
13N. PaulL000-200.00105—09:01
17J. DavidssonR000000.00000—05:56
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)15132.8671.42-0.5850:21
41C. Anderson642.6670.27-1.7306:59

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).