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Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 5:43 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 32, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.6 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A), 2. Danton Heinen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tuukka Rask (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Heinen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT16115011232
BOSBOS111110311532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.19win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:17
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:04

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:51
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:04

3rd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:43
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    6:50
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:16

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:46OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:40BOSCharlie Coyle · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min

2nd

  • 5:03BOSserved by P. Cehlarik · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:08BOSBrad Marchand · Spearing double minordrawn by Dylan DeMelo4 min
  • 6:08BOSBrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 13:53OTTMark Borowiecki · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 17:20OTTMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 6:11OTTMark Borowiecki · Hookingdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalOTT goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 3rd 5:43 — BOS 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.22B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.21D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.19J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.17P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.14D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.13D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.00C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsBOS
2.12 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT44%56%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsBOS
32
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-330.08000—25:40
28C. BrownR101030.140005022:05
2D. DeMeloD000020.03400—21:43
22N. ZaitsevD000-120.05030—21:30
7B. TkachukL000030.23200—21:00
71C. TierneyC000-210.194005018:53
44J. PageauC011010.134205618:48
13N. PaulL000020.252207118:45
63T. EnnisR000-230.28000—18:44
90V. NamestnikovC000-230.14100017:48
81R. HainseyD000000.00000—17:39
10A. DuclairL101+140.40020—16:45
74M. BorowieckiD022+220.03316—15:10
26E. BrannstromD000000.00000—14:15
64J. BeaudinC000010.014004611:45
78F. ChlapikC000+110.04100009:56
21L. BrownC011+100.000004003:56
49S. SabourinR000010.09100—00:21
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)32275.8442.40-2.6059:57

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).