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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, SN360·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zdeno Chara's goal at 8:45 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were BOS 21, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (33 saves, .971), 2. Zdeno Chara (1 G), 3. Tyler Ennis.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    BOS
    Z. Chara1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Ennis

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0307211221
OTTOTT09015110134

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +24 pts
    0-1
    0:41
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.19win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    5:15
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.03win prob +31 pts
    2-1
    8:45

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:50OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:42BOSBrendan Gaunce · Slashingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 2:09OTTAnthony Duclair · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 8:53BOSChris Wagner · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Zdeno Chara, 3rd 8:45 — BOS 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.21C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.19C. White · On goal · xG 0.19N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.19A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.14T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.10L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.08T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.07T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.06T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03J. Beaudin · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
1.62 G
All situations
1 G2.7
0.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS29%71%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
21
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
34
21
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000010.13260—24:28
33Z. CharaD101+210.03130—23:35
25B. CarloD000000.00400—22:28
47T. KrugD000010.01030—20:00
88D. PastrnakR000020.23300—19:41
63B. MarchandL101+120.24110—19:37
46D. KrejciC000010.132106418:50
13C. CoyleC000-110.091003817:49
48M. GrzelcykD000-120.04130—16:43
10A. BjorkL011000.00100—14:45
43D. HeinenL000030.27100—14:39
74J. DeBruskL000020.06100—14:35
52S. KuralyC011+130.062104213:34
14C. WagnerR000-100.084026713:31
20J. NordstromC011+110.01300011:49
26P. LindholmC000+110.120107510:37
44S. KampferD000+100.01120—10:09
50B. GaunceC011+100.04202009:10
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)34331.9712.69+1.6960:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).