Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zdeno Chara's goal at 8:45 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were BOS 21, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (33 saves, .971), 2. Zdeno Chara (1 G), 3. Tyler Ennis.
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
0-10:41
1-15:15
2-18:45
Penalties
1st
- 14:50
served by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 18:42
Brendan Gaunce · Slashingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
3rd
- 2:09
Anthony Duclair · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 8:53
Chris Wagner · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zdeno Chara, 3rd 8:45 — 48% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.62 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.7
- 0.92 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 30
- Hits
- 34
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 11
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
