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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 7:33 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — CAR 1.8, PHI 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 28, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sean Couturier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR31111601428
PHIPHI15216010331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(10)
    L. Wallmark (18), B. McGinn (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:20
  2. CAR
    J. Faulk(11)
    J. Martinook (10), B. McGinn (16)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:29
  3. PHI
    O. Lindblom(17)
    T. Sanheim (26), C. Giroux (62)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:19
  4. CAR
    T. Teravainen(21)
    J. Staal (17), N. Niederreiter (30)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    15:40

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(24)
    S. Laughton (20)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:27
  2. PHI
    S. Couturier(33)PPG
    J. Voracek (46), C. Giroux (63)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    6:07
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(11)
    D. Hamilton (21), T. Teravainen (55)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    4-3
    7:33

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·PHI 14 PIM

2nd

  • 4:59CARDougie Hamilton · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 12:23PHIRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 12:23PHIRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 12:23PHIRyan Hartman · Misconductdrawn by Warren Foegele10 min
  • 16:28CARserved by J. Williams · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 2nd 7:33 — CAR 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.17T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.16S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.11C. Knight · On goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03S. Morin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Morin · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
1.84 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR47%53%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
14
23
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+130.04120—24:12
27J. FaulkD101+130.28220—23:03
19D. HamiltonD011040.20332—21:43
22B. PesceD000+100.00100—20:28
20S. AhoC000030.192002320:17
86T. TeravainenC112+210.12100018:56
21N. NiederreiterR011+120.17100—18:47
14J. WilliamsR000020.141105018:28
11J. StaalC112+230.321306716:46
37A. SvechnikovR000-100.06100—15:13
57T. van RiemsdykD000+110.00200—14:57
23B. McGinnL022000.00010—13:58
79M. FerlandL000+100.00100—13:58
4H. FleuryD000010.06140—13:22
71L. WallmarkC011020.120104511:57
48J. MartinookL011020.021002511:50
13W. FoegeleL101+110.09100—09:56
8S. MaenalanenR000000.00300—09:01
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. McElhinney(W)31283.9031.96-1.0460:00

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).