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Blue Jackets at Senators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸6
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV FS-O, SN360·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 6-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Markus Nutivaara's goal at 9:08 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were CBJ 27, OTT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Anders Nilsson stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (2 G), 2. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 2 A), 3. Anthony Duclair.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Duclair

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ3141429627
OTTOTT0911119229

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    P. Dubois(26)
    A. Panarin (58), D. Savard (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:39
  2. CBJ
    M. Nutivaara(5)
    O. Bjorkstrand (12), N. Foligno (18)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    9:08
  3. CBJ
    P. Dubois(27)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    10:33

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(14)
    B. Gibbons (11)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    8:50
  2. CBJ
    A. Texier(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (13)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    15:35

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Boedker(7)
    C. Tierney (39), B. Ryan (27)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    6:32
  2. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(23)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    9:28
  3. CBJ
    R. Nash(3)EN
    A. Panarin (59), D. Savard (16)
    wristxG 0.45
    6-2
    18:43

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCBJ goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Markus Nutivaara, 1st 9:08 — CBJ 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.19M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.16Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.07B. Gibbons · Missed · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindberg · Missed · xG 0.06A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.05C. White · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.03B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsOTT
2.55 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.05 G
Even strength
2 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ50%50%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/0
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
0
20
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
6
12
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000000.00010—21:04
65M. NutivaaraD101+120.15410—20:24
58D. SavardD022+210.07020—20:23
3S. JonesD000010.01110—19:56
14D. KukanD000+210.10020—19:41
4S. HarringtonD000+310.05410—18:32
9A. PanarinL022+310.08000—16:42
77J. AndersonR000-120.15300—15:59
20R. NashC101010.5011010015:54
95M. DucheneC000-100.000107515:54
38B. JennerC000-120.010007115:40
18P. DuboisC202+330.293002915:13
19R. DzingelC000-100.00010014:53
13C. AtkinsonR000+270.70000—14:51
17B. DubinskyC000-100.00210014:42
42A. TexierL101+330.29010—13:43
28O. BjorkstrandR123+320.08000—13:26
71N. FolignoL011+300.002106713:03
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)29272.9312.04+0.0460:00

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).