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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 8:26 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 20, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Malcolm Subban (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Reilly Smith (2 G), 3. William Karlsson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Subban20 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0100604020
VGKVGK216311011538

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    0-1
    1:24
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:26

2nd period

  1. VGK
    T. Nosek(8)SHG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    6:00
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    17:56
  3. VGK
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    18:20

Penalties

WPG 9 PIM·VGK 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:29WPGBlake Wheeler · Fightingdrawn by Mark Stone5 min
  • 0:29VGKMark Stone · Fightingdrawn by Blake Wheeler5 min
  • 16:50WPGBen Chiarot · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Pirri2 min
  • 19:18VGKRyan Carpenter · High stickingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 4:15VGKRyan Reaves · Interferencedrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

3rd

  • 18:52WPGserved by J. Roslovic · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 1st 8:26 — VGK 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.17R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.09T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.08R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.07T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.07B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.06C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.06B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.04N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 2.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
1.70 G
All situations
5 G2.5
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG35%65%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
20
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
29
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
6
13
Takeaways
23

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-330.09230—24:15
57T. MyersD000-110.02510—19:48
81K. ConnorL000-210.18000—19:32
7B. ChiarotD000-130.09132—19:17
29P. LaineL000-110.17000—19:08
5D. KulikovD000020.19110—18:57
55M. ScheifeleC000-210.062103818:52
70J. MorrowD000-300.01100—17:17
83S. NikuD000-100.00000—16:48
26B. WheelerR000-210.36005—16:35
27N. EhlersL000-310.02100—14:45
12K. HayesR000-320.330004714:36
17A. LowryC000010.072105714:36
13B. TanevL000-100.02600—14:29
18B. LittleC000-100.001003313:47
9A. CoppC000000.002005613:44
28J. RoslovicC000020.08200010:23
85M. PerreaultC000-110.03300010:03
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck20182.9001.29-0.7134:00
30L. Brossoit(L)18153.8331.24-1.7626:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).