Blue Jackets at Oilers 1-4 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

Edmonton Oilers

▸4

FinalTV FS-O, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack Kassian's goal at 0:45 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 20, EDM 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.8 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (3 A), 3. Zack Kassian (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
★★
L. Draisaitl3 A
★★★
Z. Kassian1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	05	18	07	120
EDM	02	18	312	422

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

D. Savard(6)
M. Nutivaara (14), R. Dzingel (28)
tip-inxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
1-0
11:35
K. Brodziak(6)
J. Gambardella (1), J. Currie (3)
snapxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
1-1
13:17

3rd period

Z. Kassian(14)
C. McDavid (70), L. Draisaitl (49)
slapxG 0.20win prob +24 pts
1-2
0:45
C. McDavid(37)
L. Draisaitl (50), D. Nurse (28)
wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
1-3
14:02
R. Nugent-Hopkins(25)PPG
L. Draisaitl (51), A. Sekera (3)
slapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
1-4
16:15

Penalties

2 PIM·

0 PIM

3rd

14:49Matt Duchene · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: EDM

100%

Biggest swing: Zack Kassian, 3rd 0:45 — EDM 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

4 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 1.8 xG · 28 att EDM

4 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.81 G
All situations: 4 G2.2; 1.81 G
Even strength: 3 G2.1; 0.00 G
Power play: 1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

41%59%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

20
Shots on goal: 22; 45%
Faceoffs: 55%; 0/0
Power play: 1/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 0; 25
Hits: 30; 21
Blocked shots: 14; 8
Giveaways: 14; 5
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	-3	1	0.08	2	2	0	—	25:38
3S. JonesD	0	0	0	-3	2	0.06	1	4	0	—	25:02
65M. NutivaaraD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	3	3	0	—	23:04
58D. SavardD	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	2	1	0	—	22:55
77J. AndersonR	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	2	3	0	—	20:48
95M. DucheneC	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	2	47	20:19
9A. PanarinL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	19:13
38B. JennerC	0	0	0	-2	1	0.29	1	0	0	33	16:31
19R. DzingelC	0	1	1	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	0	16:05
18P. DuboisC	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	0	0	45	15:02
28O. BjorkstrandR	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	2	3	0	—	14:58
13C. AtkinsonR	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	1	0	0	—	14:49
10A. WennbergC	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	75	12:50
4S. HarringtonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	2	0	—	12:06
54A. McQuaidD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	2	0	—	11:15
20R. NashC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	50	10:29
50E. RobinsonL	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	—	08:50
17B. DubinskyC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	57	08:40

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)	22	18	4	.818	2.22	-1.78	60:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Mar 24@0Final
Mar 211@4this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Edmonton Oilers

2nd period

3rd period

3rd

Box score