St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the St. Louis Blues 2-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Wolanin's goal at 13:27 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were STL 35, OTT 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Anders Nilsson stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 3.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Christian Wolanin (1 G), 3. Max Veronneau.
Three stars
- ★A. Nilsson35 saves, 1.000

- ★★C. Wolanin1 G

- ★★★M. Veronneau

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals2nd period
0-113:27
3rd period
0-219:03
Penalties
1st
- 0:40
Vince Dunn · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
- 7:52
Alexander Steen · Holding the stickdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
- 10:18
Dylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
- 19:26
Cody Ceci · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
3rd
- 0:38
Brady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
- 0:38
Vince Dunn · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 14:19
Christian Wolanin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Christian Wolanin, 2nd 13:27 — 53% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.60 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.8
- 3.20 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 1.30
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 22
- Hits
- 29
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 8
- Giveaways
- 19
- 5
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
2@
3Final
0@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






