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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 16:25 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.0, ANA 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 25, ANA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Ryan Miller stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Brown (1 G), 2. Kyle Clifford (1 G), 3. Hampus Lindholm.

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    K. Clifford1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK3100906325
ANAANA1208110220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:22
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:27
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    10:37
  4. LAK
    A. Kempe (14), T. Toffoli (17)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    16:25

3rd period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    12:16

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:30ANAHampus Lindholm · Holding the stickdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 18:32ANADaniel Sprong · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

2nd

  • 5:23ANANick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min

3rd

  • 1:54LAKKyle Clifford · Trippingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 19:29ANARickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 19:29LAKDrew Doughty · Roughingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 1st 16:25 — LAK 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.15D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.14D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.01K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
2.03 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK55%45%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
25
Shots on goal
20
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+100.02112—25:50
11A. KopitarC000+110.050005222:47
27A. MartinezD000010.04020—21:11
24D. ForbortD011+100.00210—20:44
23D. BrownR101+140.22000—19:28
9A. KempeR011040.221103319:09
77J. CarterC000-110.090005719:09
73T. ToffoliC011030.17010018:20
38C. GrundstromR101010.32310—18:15
19A. IafalloL000+100.07110—17:34
81M. RoyD000+100.03210—14:15
22T. LewisC011010.020005013:48
3D. PhaneufD000000.07200—13:25
13K. CliffordL101040.31102—13:24
17I. KovalchukL000030.2700010013:19
2P. LaDueD011020.08320—12:28
76J. BrodzinskiC000+100.00100007:45
56K. MacDermidL000-100.00100—06:38
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)20182.9001.75-0.2560:00

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).